Wednesday, August 11, 2010

2010-08-09 AUDUSD Live Trade Follow up (FOMC Spoiled the plan)

(This is a live trade shared by Eric Lye in his Forex Trading Blog.  The purpose is to share how we trade and provide the learning points.  Note that there is no absolute right or wrong about a trade, it is all about managing it well)

It was a good decision to close off the trade first and waited for FOMC.  At least I still got a decent 83pips profit.  If price remained at this level, market might go into tight consolidation again or the chances of price going down should be higher than going up.

AUDUSD 2010-08-09 Follow up (Trade Closed)

2 comments:

Josh said...

Yesterday, when you did this trade, major trend was UP and intermediate trend was up too (both can be seen on Daily chart). Only Intra-day trend (4H) seems to be down. Therefore, I think trying to short when the higher forces have yet to show a turn down is a high-risk trade. A better pair to trade yesterday would be GBP/USD. What do you think?

elye said...

Hi Josh,

Trend is like a big vessel, when it needs to turn, it would have to do it slowly.

From technical perspective, the lower time frame would turn first before the higher time frame shows a confirmation.

Agree that GBPUSD was a better pair, but I went into AUDUSD first, so kind of "stuck"

Cheers,
Eric